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Efficient vaccination against COVID-19 entails major macroeconomic benefits
17/12/2020 -There are many good reasons not to allow a safe vaccination against COVID-19 to be delayed. Continued spread entails a high burden on the medical system, more people dying and a lot of people suffering. In addition, there are considerable...
How the Riksbank creates money in times of crisis
11/06/2020 -The Riksbank and other central banks around the world have implemented extensive measures to alleviate the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic on the economy. Many of the measures involve creating large volumes of new money. But how is...
New challengers on the mortgage market
15/01/2020 -In Sweden, the norm is for mortgages to be issued by banks. But new players, known as mortgage credit companies, are now challenging this norm. A new Economic Commentary describes the development of these new players in Sweden and draws...
Perspectives on the krona, inflation and monetary policy
04/12/2019 -It is challenging to sort out what drives the exchange rate and what the exchange rate means for inflation and monetary policy. In the Economic Commentary “Perspectives on the krona, inflation and monetary policy”, the authors use the Riksbank’s...
Making forecasts of the krona exchange rate
29/11/2019 -The best method for predicting the krona exchange rate depends on the forecast horizon. Up to one year ahead, the best forecast for the krona exchange rate is its level at forecast date. At longer horizons, the best forecast is based on the...
Lower labour shortage could partly explain low wage growth
14/11/2019 -Nominal wage increases in Sweden have been unusually low in recent years, despite a strong outcome for the Swedish labour market. Several indicators point to demand for labour having exceeded supply, which according to the textbook should have...
Prosperity growth in Sweden compares well with other countries
06/11/2019 -Since the financial crisis, prosperity has had weaker development in many countries, including Sweden. The weak development in Sweden over the past three years has led to a discussion of how prosperity in Sweden compares with that of other...
How bad loans affect banks and financial stability
14/03/2019 -Bad loans arise when the borrower no longer pays in accordance with terms of the loan. Large volumes of bad loans can cause banks to encounter problems with their capital adequacy and, at worst, lead to bankruptcy. The Economic Commentary “Bad...
The Phillips curve appears to be intact in Sweden
21/02/2019 -The relationship between resource utilisation and inflation, the so-called Phillips curve, has been increasingly called into question in recent years. However, an analysis of detailed firm-level data indicates that the relationship still...
Higher housing prices behind increasing household debt
19/11/2018 -Since 2011, the increase in Swedish household debt can primarily be explained by home-buyers having, on average, paid a higher price, and therefore have needed to borrow more money, than the sellers once did, and by existing home-owners having...