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New challengers on the mortgage market
15/01/2020 -In Sweden, the norm is for mortgages to be issued by banks. But new players, known as mortgage credit companies, are now challenging this norm. A new Economic Commentary describes the development of these new players in Sweden and draws...
Making forecasts of the krona exchange rate
29/11/2019 -The best method for predicting the krona exchange rate depends on the forecast horizon. Up to one year ahead, the best forecast for the krona exchange rate is its level at forecast date. At longer horizons, the best forecast is based on the...
Perspectives on the krona, inflation and monetary policy
04/12/2019 -It is challenging to sort out what drives the exchange rate and what the exchange rate means for inflation and monetary policy. In the Economic Commentary “Perspectives on the krona, inflation and monetary policy”, the authors use the Riksbank’s...
Lower labour shortage could partly explain low wage growth
14/11/2019 -Nominal wage increases in Sweden have been unusually low in recent years, despite a strong outcome for the Swedish labour market. Several indicators point to demand for labour having exceeded supply, which according to the textbook should have...
Difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically
19/01/2024 -Neither the central banks nor other forecasters predicted how quickly inflation would rise in 2021 and 2022, and inflation forecasts accordingly showed major forecasting errors. The Riksbank's forecasting ability for 2021 was good. In 2022 it...
How well are inflation expectations anchored at the target?
18/12/2023 -If the inflation target is credible, long-term inflation expectations in the economy are stable close to the target. In a new article, the authors examine how expected inflation in five years' time will be affected by the previous inflation...
Prosperity growth in Sweden compares well with other countries
06/11/2019 -Since the financial crisis, prosperity has had weaker development in many countries, including Sweden. The weak development in Sweden over the past three years has led to a discussion of how prosperity in Sweden compares with that of other...
Banks have low loan losses from corporate bankruptcies
22/12/2025 -In a new Economic Commentary, the authors study Swedish companies that have gone bankrupt and whether these have created loan losses for Swedish banks. The analysis shows that Swedish banks have had very low loan losses in recent years, due to...
Improved labour market matching in recent years
13/01/2025 -A new analysis shows that matching in the Swedish labour market deteriorated during the financial crisis and the pandemic. This usually happens during crises. However, matching has recovered somewhat in recent years. The fact that matching has...
Increased imports from China expected to have little impact on inflation in the short term
08/09/2025 -The increase in tariffs has reduced US imports from China. Data shows that Sweden and the United States import similar goods from China, which suggests that China could fairly easily redirect its exports to the Swedish market through already...