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Making forecasts of the krona exchange rate
29/11/2019 -The best method for predicting the krona exchange rate depends on the forecast horizon. Up to one year ahead, the best forecast for the krona exchange rate is its level at forecast date. At longer horizons, the best forecast is based on the...
Perspectives on the krona, inflation and monetary policy
04/12/2019 -It is challenging to sort out what drives the exchange rate and what the exchange rate means for inflation and monetary policy. In the Economic Commentary “Perspectives on the krona, inflation and monetary policy”, the authors use the Riksbank’s...
Price changes in Sweden – insights from five million observations
17/01/2022 -What affects inflation most – how often or how much do the prices of goods and services change? Riksbank economists Jacob Ewertzh, Mathias Klein and Oskar Tysklind have found this out by analysing five million price observations between the...
Labour market effects of the corona crisis in the short and the long term
08/01/2021 -The corona crisis has hit the labour market hard. Although the comprehensive economic policy measures introduced during the pandemic have mitigated the negative effects, the number of unemployed has risen at the same time as employment and hours...
Riksbank takes sustainability into account when purchasing corporate bonds
15/03/2021 -With effect from January 2021, the Riksbank will only offer to purchase bonds issued by companies deemed to comply with international standards and norms for sustainability, The authors of an Economic Commentary describe the background to the...
New liquidity metric indicates higher liquidity risks
09/05/2022 -The Riksbank's new liquidity metric Deposit Loss Capacity (DLC) shows that there are major banks in Sweden which, during certain periods, have demonstrated clearly higher liquidity risks than the other major banks, which is not fully reflected...
The Riksbank reports the carbon footprint for its holdings of corporate bonds
31/03/2021 -The Riksbank is now taking a first step towards reporting its own climate-related risks on the Riksbank’s balance sheet. By calculating and reporting the carbon footprint of the corporate bond holdings, the Riksbank wishes to help promote...
Why have US long-term yields risen?
11/05/2021 -It is primarily rising term premiums, not higher policy-rate expectations, that explain the increase in US long-term yields since last summer. This is according to an analysis by Jan Alsterlind at the Monetary Policy Department.
Survey analysis of the financial market’s inflation expectations
19/05/2021 -An analysis of the Riksbank’s various surveys of inflation expectations shows that the money market participants’ long-term inflation expectations, on average, have been close to the inflation target of 2 per cent since 2010.
Pass-through of negative policy rates
28/05/2021 -There is a strong link between the repo rate and the interest rates faced by borrowers. This link was strong even when the repo rate was negative. This is demonstrated by Henrik Erikson and David Vestin in the Economic Commentary “Pass-through...