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Why have US long-term yields risen?
11/05/2021 -It is primarily rising term premiums, not higher policy-rate expectations, that explain the increase in US long-term yields since last summer. This is according to an analysis by Jan Alsterlind at the Monetary Policy Department.
Survey analysis of the financial market’s inflation expectations
19/05/2021 -An analysis of the Riksbank’s various surveys of inflation expectations shows that the money market participants’ long-term inflation expectations, on average, have been close to the inflation target of 2 per cent since 2010.
Pass-through of negative policy rates
28/05/2021 -There is a strong link between the repo rate and the interest rates faced by borrowers. This link was strong even when the repo rate was negative. This is demonstrated by Henrik Erikson and David Vestin in the Economic Commentary “Pass-through...
Improved labour market matching in recent years
13/01/2025 -A new analysis shows that matching in the Swedish labour market deteriorated during the financial crisis and the pandemic. This usually happens during crises. However, matching has recovered somewhat in recent years. The fact that matching has...
Difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically
19/01/2024 -Neither the central banks nor other forecasters predicted how quickly inflation would rise in 2021 and 2022, and inflation forecasts accordingly showed major forecasting errors. The Riksbank's forecasting ability for 2021 was good. In 2022 it...
Settlement of money and securities in central bank money reduces risk
20/02/2024 -In times of change, it is important that the actors in the financial system work to provide safe systems for the settlement of money and securities. Lena Wiberg writes in a new Economic Commentary that one way of reducing risks in settlement is...
Monetary policy and behavioural economics
10/04/2024 -Do households think about interest rates and wages in real or nominal terms when making financial decisions? Does 'mental accounting' affect households' willingness to buy different types of goods and services at different times? How can...
Characteristics of sub-groups in the CPIF
16/05/2024 -In the monetary policy debate, rapidly rising services prices are considered to be particularly worrying, as these rates of price increase are judged to be more persistent and thus take longer to return to their mean value. The authors of a new...
Swedish monetary policy in line with the Taylor Rule
15/01/2018 -Swedish monetary policy, since the inflation target was introduced, is in line with a so-called Taylor Rule. Today's very expansionary monetary policy, with a negative interest rate, is in line with the Taylor Rule if one takes into account the...
How the European Banking Union works
15/01/2018 -The Banking Union is the result of the work within the EU on improving regulation and supervision of the financial sector that began after the financial crisis. The purpose of the Banking Union is to create a structure for the joint supervision...