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Why have US long-term yields risen?
11/05/2021 -It is primarily rising term premiums, not higher policy-rate expectations, that explain the increase in US long-term yields since last summer. This is according to an analysis by Jan Alsterlind at the Monetary Policy Department.
Survey analysis of the financial market’s inflation expectations
19/05/2021 -An analysis of the Riksbank’s various surveys of inflation expectations shows that the money market participants’ long-term inflation expectations, on average, have been close to the inflation target of 2 per cent since 2010.
The Phillips curve appears to be intact in Sweden
21/02/2019 -The relationship between resource utilisation and inflation, the so-called Phillips curve, has been increasingly called into question in recent years. However, an analysis of detailed firm-level data indicates that the relationship still...
How bad loans affect banks and financial stability
14/03/2019 -Bad loans arise when the borrower no longer pays in accordance with terms of the loan. Large volumes of bad loans can cause banks to encounter problems with their capital adequacy and, at worst, lead to bankruptcy. The Economic Commentary “Bad...
Higher housing prices behind increasing household debt
19/11/2018 -Since 2011, the increase in Swedish household debt can primarily be explained by home-buyers having, on average, paid a higher price, and therefore have needed to borrow more money, than the sellers once did, and by existing home-owners having...
Why does the Riksbank analyse different measures of core inflation?
03/10/2018 -Sveriges Riksbank has had an inflation target of 2 per cent since the mid-1990s and as of autumn 2017, this target is expressed in terms of the CPIF. But to obtain as good an indication as possible of current inflationary pressures and where...
Climate change affects central banks
14/11/2018 -Global warming and its consequences are relevant for central banks as these consequences may conceivably have an impact on both financial stability and monetary policy in the long run. This is the conclusion of Conny Olovsson, PhD in economics,...
How the Riksbank creates money in times of crisis
11/06/2020 -The Riksbank and other central banks around the world have implemented extensive measures to alleviate the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic on the economy. Many of the measures involve creating large volumes of new money. But how is...
Household debt continuing to increase faster than incomes
15/01/2018 -High and rising household indebtedness poses the greatest risk to the Swedish economy. This Economic Commentary shows that household indebtedness is continuing to increase faster than incomes and that indebtedness is highest among young and...
Risk of future housing surplus – smaller municipalities most vulnerable
08/04/2026 -There is an increasing risk that Sweden’s housing supply will exceed demand over the next decade. This trend may lead to rising vacancy rates, especially in smaller municipalities, which in turn may affect revenues and property values for...