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Staff memo: How banks' mortgage rates are affected when the policy rate changes
24/04/2025 -How quickly and how much are the banks' mortgage rates adjusted when the Riksbank changes the policy rate? Does this pattern change when the policy rate is negative? This is analysed in a new study based on high-frequency data from Swedish banks...
Better forecasting with AI-based models
02/04/2025 -AI-based models outperform traditional time series models in forecasting Swedish GDP and inflation. This is according to a survey conducted by economists at the Riksbank's Monetary Policy Department.
Account of Monetary Policy in 2024: Inflation on target
28/03/2025 -The Riksbank's interest rate hikes in 2022-2023 helped bring inflation back down and it was close to the target throughout 2024. Annual average CPIF inflation was 1.9 per cent and long-term inflation expectations were stable at 2 per cent. The...
The Riksbank’s Financial Markets Survey: The Swedish fixed-income and foreign exchange markets are functioning well
07/04/2025 -A majority of respondents consider that the Swedish fixed-income and foreign exchange markets are functioning well. The majority of respondents also state that their risk-taking has increased over the past six months, but at the same time most...
Energy price shocks had profound effects on Sweden's consumption patterns
23/04/2025 -In recent years, spending by individuals in Sweden has fluctuated a lot. Since 2022 these fluctuations can be linked to the large shock in the price of energy that followed cuts in the inflow of energy from Russia to Europe in the aftermath of...
The Riksbank's response to the consultation "From surplus target to balance target"
25/02/2025 -Stable public finances are a prerequisite for being able to respond to crises and are important for maintaining confidence in the inflation target. A balance target is not expected to affect the conditions for monetary policy.
The countercyclical capital buffer should remain unchanged at 2 per cent
10/04/2025 -The Riksbank considers that the countercyclical buffer rate should remain unchanged at its positive neutral level of 2 per cent for the second quarter of 2025. In Sweden, Finansinspektionen is responsible for the countercyclical capital buffer...
More agents can apply to become RIX participants
09/04/2025 -As of today, 9 April, payment institutions and e-money institutions can apply to become participants in the Riksbank's settlement system, RIX.
Account of Monetary Policy 2022 – Higher policy rate to tackle high inflation
30/03/2023 -In 2022, inflation was at its highest level since the inflation target was introduced, and the deviation from the inflation target was exceptionally high. At the end of 2021, with the exception of energy prices, inflation was still below 2 per...
Payments cost – but the costs vary
23/03/2023 -We rarely consider that it costs to make a payment. But it does. In the Riksbank's Cost Study, published today, the authors estimate that the social cost of payments in Sweden amounts to almost 1 per cent of GDP, or around SEK 5,000 per...