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Why have US long-term yields risen?
11/05/2021 -It is primarily rising term premiums, not higher policy-rate expectations, that explain the increase in US long-term yields since last summer. This is according to an analysis by Jan Alsterlind at the Monetary Policy Department.
Economic commentary: A new early warning indicator of financial fragility in Sweden
17/01/2018 -In this economic commentary, the authors propose a new early warning indicator of financial fragility and apply it to the Swedish financial sector. The early warning indicator (EWI) is designed to give a numerical assessment of the build-up of...
Why does the Riksbank analyse different measures of core inflation?
03/10/2018 -Sveriges Riksbank has had an inflation target of 2 per cent since the mid-1990s and as of autumn 2017, this target is expressed in terms of the CPIF. But to obtain as good an indication as possible of current inflationary pressures and where...
Higher housing prices behind increasing household debt
19/11/2018 -Since 2011, the increase in Swedish household debt can primarily be explained by home-buyers having, on average, paid a higher price, and therefore have needed to borrow more money, than the sellers once did, and by existing home-owners having...
Lower labour shortage could partly explain low wage growth
14/11/2019 -Nominal wage increases in Sweden have been unusually low in recent years, despite a strong outcome for the Swedish labour market. Several indicators point to demand for labour having exceeded supply, which according to the textbook should have...
Making forecasts of the krona exchange rate
29/11/2019 -The best method for predicting the krona exchange rate depends on the forecast horizon. Up to one year ahead, the best forecast for the krona exchange rate is its level at forecast date. At longer horizons, the best forecast is based on the...
New challengers on the mortgage market
15/01/2020 -In Sweden, the norm is for mortgages to be issued by banks. But new players, known as mortgage credit companies, are now challenging this norm. A new Economic Commentary describes the development of these new players in Sweden and draws...
How the Riksbank creates money in times of crisis
11/06/2020 -The Riksbank and other central banks around the world have implemented extensive measures to alleviate the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic on the economy. Many of the measures involve creating large volumes of new money. But how is...
Monetary policy and behavioural economics
10/04/2024 -Do households think about interest rates and wages in real or nominal terms when making financial decisions? Does 'mental accounting' affect households' willingness to buy different types of goods and services at different times? How can...
How well are inflation expectations anchored at the target?
18/12/2023 -If the inflation target is credible, long-term inflation expectations in the economy are stable close to the target. In a new article, the authors examine how expected inflation in five years' time will be affected by the previous inflation...