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Improved labour market matching in recent years
13/01/2025 -A new analysis shows that matching in the Swedish labour market deteriorated during the financial crisis and the pandemic. This usually happens during crises. However, matching has recovered somewhat in recent years. The fact that matching has...
How well are inflation expectations anchored at the target?
18/12/2023 -If the inflation target is credible, long-term inflation expectations in the economy are stable close to the target. In a new article, the authors examine how expected inflation in five years' time will be affected by the previous inflation...
Increased imports from China expected to have little impact on inflation in the short term
08/09/2025 -The increase in tariffs has reduced US imports from China. Data shows that Sweden and the United States import similar goods from China, which suggests that China could fairly easily redirect its exports to the Swedish market through already...
Banks have low loan losses from corporate bankruptcies
22/12/2025 -In a new Economic Commentary, the authors study Swedish companies that have gone bankrupt and whether these have created loan losses for Swedish banks. The analysis shows that Swedish banks have had very low loan losses in recent years, due to...
Characteristics of sub-groups in the CPIF
16/05/2024 -In the monetary policy debate, rapidly rising services prices are considered to be particularly worrying, as these rates of price increase are judged to be more persistent and thus take longer to return to their mean value. The authors of a new...
Difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically
19/01/2024 -Neither the central banks nor other forecasters predicted how quickly inflation would rise in 2021 and 2022, and inflation forecasts accordingly showed major forecasting errors. The Riksbank's forecasting ability for 2021 was good. In 2022 it...
Settlement of money and securities in central bank money reduces risk
20/02/2024 -In times of change, it is important that the actors in the financial system work to provide safe systems for the settlement of money and securities. Lena Wiberg writes in a new Economic Commentary that one way of reducing risks in settlement is...
Monetary policy and behavioural economics
10/04/2024 -Do households think about interest rates and wages in real or nominal terms when making financial decisions? Does 'mental accounting' affect households' willingness to buy different types of goods and services at different times? How can...
Economic commentary: A new early warning indicator of financial fragility in Sweden
17/01/2018 -In this economic commentary, the authors propose a new early warning indicator of financial fragility and apply it to the Swedish financial sector. The early warning indicator (EWI) is designed to give a numerical assessment of the build-up of...
Household debt continuing to increase faster than incomes
15/01/2018 -High and rising household indebtedness poses the greatest risk to the Swedish economy. This Economic Commentary shows that household indebtedness is continuing to increase faster than incomes and that indebtedness is highest among young and...