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Which measure of inflation works best depends on the situation
21/02/2024 -Central banks around the world often use the term “core inflation” to describe longer-term trends in inflation. But how good are these measures at forecasting future CPIF inflation? This question is answered in a new Economic Commentary by...
How should we view the development of the krona?
28/03/2023 -The Swedish krona weakened significantly in 2022. Is there any explanation for the long-term development of the krona? Does the weaker krona indicate weakness in the Swedish economy and what role does monetary policy play? Carl-Johan Belfrage,...
Inquiry into the state’s role on the payment market a matter of urgency
03/10/2019 -The payment market is developing at a very rapid pace. This is not least true of the shift from cash to digital payments. It is therefore important that the question of the state’s role on the future payment market, including whether an e-krona...
Technological change has not lead to fewer jobs
02/10/2019 -Technological change means that some jobs disappear. At the same time, however, new jobs are usually also created. The Economic Commentary “Technological change and the labour market” shows that total employment has not fallen due to new...
A combination of statistics provides a better picture of developments on the labour market
27/09/2019 -Statistics Sweden’s Labour Force Surveys (LFS) are the official measure for unemployment and employment in Sweden. But there are also register-based statistics that can be used to refine and complement the picture of developments on the labour...
A surprising pattern behind the trend of long-term interest rates
23/04/2024 -New research shows that the declines in interest rates that add up over time to form the trend in interest rates in the United States occur almost exclusively in connection with meetings of the US Federal Reserve (the Fed). In a new Economic...
Banks can improve the way they measure liquidity risks
13/02/2023 -A new Economic Commentary describes how a supplementary liquidity metric, based on Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR), can be calculated to take account of the additional liquidity need required for banks to be able to cope throughout the entire...
What does research say about the effects of central bank balance sheet policies?
24/02/2021 -Central banks’ purchases of assets and other forms of balance sheet policies have had a positive effect on output and inflation. This is the conclusion of an analysis of the research literature carried out in the United States, the euro area and...
The relationship between different prices, the exchange rate and economic activity
07/04/2021 -There is a clear relationship between economic activity and the exchange rate, on one hand, and many consumer prices, on the other. This is demonstrated by an analysis made by Mårten Löf, advisor at the Riksbank’s Forecasting Division. The...
Price changes at different time horizons
03/05/2024 -In recent years of high inflation, more attention than before has been paid to price developments over periods shorter than 12 months. In a new Economic Commentary by Oskar Tysklind and Jesper Johansson, the authors show that when inflation is...