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Anna Seim in Västervik: Favourable conditions for managing the uncertain road ahead
21/05/2025 -The increased uncertainty abroad is expected to dampen economic activity, while the effects on inflation are more difficult to assess. My assessment is that monetary policy is currently well-balanced and that it is at present wise to await...
Per Jansson: Strong reasons to expect inflation to fall back
01/04/2025 -“In a turbulent world, central banks must be as predictable as possible and not contribute to further uncertainty. I believe this is best done by having a clear focus on maintaining confidence in the inflation target. Temporary deviations from...
Jansson: Confidence in the inflation target determines how flexible monetary policy can be
13/02/2025 -"The challenges we have faced during my time on the Executive Board have been very diverse. First a long period of inflation below target, then a period of inflation high above it. What these periods have had in common, however, is that monetary...
Aino Bunge: Legislation needed to protect the status of cash
21/01/2025 -Cash usage in Sweden has been declining for a long time. The digitalisation of the payments market is occurring worldwide but it has moved faster here than in most other countries. At a seminar in the Riksdag (the Swedish parliament) today,...
Anna Seim in Eskilstuna: We are well positioned to manage future challenges to the economy
11/02/2025 -Deputy Governor Anna Seim visited Eskilstuna on Tuesday and spoke about the Riksbank's role in the economy, the economic situation and current monetary policy at an evening seminar organised by Consensus Asset Management.
...there is a surprising pattern
23/04/2024 -...there is a surprising pattern In light of these theories, Hillenbrand (2023) has documented a surprising pattern: interest rate changes in a narrow window of time around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meetings capture virtually the...
High unemployment suggests poor matching efficiency
13/01/2025 -High unemployment suggests poor matching efficiency Although both the Beveridge curve and the matching function indicate that matching efficiency has improved somewhat in recent years, unemployment among foreign-born persons remains high (see...
What could explain the pattern?
23/04/2024 -What could explain the pattern? The general view among economists, as we noted above, is that structural economic forces have driven the natural rate down over time, and the Fed has had to adjust monetary policy by following this trend.
Summary
01/07/2024 -Summary In this commentary, I have created two price indices from the National Accounts and CPI statistics: One for product categories with a low import content and one for high import content. In recent decades, the share of products with a low...
Conclusions
13/01/2025 -Conclusions The Beveridge curve shows that matching efficiency between unemployed persons and job vacancies in the Swedish labour market deteriorated both after the financial crisis in 2009 and in connection with the 2020 pandemic. It is common...