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Summary – in principle, a dead heat between the central banks
19/01/2024 -Summary – in principle, a dead heat between the central banks It is difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically. This becomes clear when we study the forecasts of ten central banks for inflation in 2021 and 2022. We observe...
The Business Survey collects information through in-depth interviews
27/10/2023 -The Business Survey collects information through in-depth interviews Since 2007, economists at the Riksbank have been meeting with company representatives to discuss their company's current situation and how the situation is expected to change...
Summary
27/10/2023 -Summary This Economic Commentary[1] Economic Commentaries are brief analyses of issues with relevance for the Riksbank. They may be written by individual members of the Executive Board or by employees at the Riksbank. Employees’ commentaries are...
References
19/01/2024 -References Australian Government (2023), “An RBA fit for the future”, The Australian Government Review of the Reserve Bank of Australia Report. Bordo, Michael and Mickey Levy (2022) "The Fed's Monetary Policy Exit Once Again behind the Curve",...
Settlement should take place in central bank money whenever possible
20/02/2024 -Settlement should take place in central bank money whenever possible The safe settlement of money and securities is essential for the smooth functioning of the financial system. Settlement in central bank money is favoured by both legislation...
APPENDIX – Inflation forecasts and outcomes
19/01/2024 -APPENDIX – Inflation forecasts and outcomes Webbrapport bildblock - Figure 7. Australia. CPI, outcomes and Reserve Bank of Australia’s forecastsAnnual percentage change Webbrapport bildblock - Figure 8. Euro area. HCPI, outcomes and European...
Evaluation of measures of core inflation
21/02/2024 -Evaluation of measures of core inflation...
When did the central banks start adjusting their inflation forecasts for 2022 upwards?
19/01/2024 -When did the central banks start adjusting their inflation forecasts for 2022 upwards? Figure 5 shows the Riksbank's and other central banks' forecasting errors (outcome minus forecast) for each country's inflation target variable for 2022. Here...
The cost to society can be reduced
23/03/2023 -The cost to society can be reduced In Sweden, more than 95 per cent of payments are digital. There is therefore potential to reduce the social resources spent on payments by making greater use of the most cost-efficient ways of making digital...
The Business Survey indicator reflects GDP growth well
27/10/2023 -The Business Survey indicator reflects GDP growth well As a first step to examine whether the Business Survey indicator can be used as a measure of economic activity, the correlation between the indicator and GDP growth was calculated.