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Do lower labour shortages indicate reduced matching problems?
13/01/2025 -Do lower labour shortages indicate reduced matching problems? Another sign of a matching problem is if labour shortages are high while there are many unemployed. Labour shortages have been very high but have eased in many sectors since the...
References
13/01/2025 -References Böhlmark, Anders and Gisela Waisman (2024), “Hur effektiv är matchningen av arbetslösa till jobb?” (How effective is the matching of unemployed people to jobs?), Analyses 2024:2, Swedish Public Employment Service. Corragio, Luca,...
Monetary policy, firms’ pricing behaviour and households’ reaction to the rise in inflation
10/04/2024 -Monetary policy, firms’ pricing behaviour and households’ reaction to the rise in inflation An additional piece of the puzzle in the 2021-2022 inflation upturn was the late reaction of monetary policy-makers in many countries to indications of...
How good are the measures at predicting future CPIF inflation?
21/02/2024 -How good are the measures at predicting future CPIF inflation? In Table 1 we present a measure of how well the different measures of core inflation are able to forecast future CPIF inflation. The calculation is made for January 2000 to December...
Concluding thoughts
10/04/2024 -Concluding thoughts In this Economic Commentary, we have highlighted insights from behavioural economics research that we believe can be helpful for monetary policy. We see these insights as useful complements to the existing analysis and...
Falling prices and low turnover in the housing market
10/04/2024 -Falling prices and low turnover in the housing market For a long time prior to 2021-2022, interest rates had been very low and on a declining trend. During this period, the Swedish housing market had experienced strong price increases. During...
The importance of inflation for economic decisions
10/04/2024 -The importance of inflation for economic decisions A phenomenon we described earlier is money illusion, i.e. the tendency of households and companies to ignore inflation in their economic decisions. However, it is also hypothesised that this...
Looking ahead - lasting effects of the inflation shock
10/04/2024 -Looking ahead - lasting effects of the inflation shock We previously described the literature on the importance of experience for economic agents.[48] For an overview, see Malmendier (2021). Individuals who have experienced dramatic economic...
Summary and conclusions
21/02/2024 -Summary and conclusions One conclusion is that measures of price changes over periods shorter than one year are usually not very good at forecasting future inflation measured as an annual percentage change in the CPIF. However, over the past...
A simple monetary policy framework
10/04/2024 -A simple monetary policy framework To describe how insights from behavioural economics could help monetary policy, we use a simple framework based both on the relationship between the interest rate, the real economy and inflation, and on the...