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The predictive power of the Business Survey indicator is good
27/10/2023 -The predictive power of the Business Survey indicator is good The next step is to evaluate the predictive power of the Business Survey indicator for unrevised and revised quarterly change in GDP. First, it is evaluated in relation to the series...
Obstacles to settlement in central bank money
20/02/2024 -Obstacles to settlement in central bank money There are potential obstacles that may make settlement in central bank money impractical. Some examples are given below. Central banks typically impose high standards on actors wishing to participate...
Summary
19/01/2024 -Summary After many years of low inflation, consumer prices rose rapidly in 2021 and 2022. Inflation targets and central banks’ forecasting ability were tested to an extent that has not occurred since the targets were introduced. Neither the...
What does legislation and international principles say?
20/02/2024 -What does legislation and international principles say? The Riksbank oversees the financial market infrastructures to identify and limit the risks they may pose to financial stability[5] The Riksbank’s oversight of the financial infrastructure .
APPENDIX - Tables and charts
27/10/2023 -APPENDIX - Tables and charts Webbrapport bildblock - Figure 4. Estimates of the Business Survey indicator when the time horizon is extended Table 4. Correlation coefficients, indicators of economic activity and GDP, 2008-2023 GDP q/q GDP q/q...
The robustness of the Business Survey indicator over time
27/10/2023 -The robustness of the Business Survey indicator over time The answers to the Business Survey questions are never revised, but the Business Survey indicator is re-estimated after each survey round. The weights given to the variables in the...
The Business Survey's new indicator of economic activity - an early temperature gauge of the Swedish economy
27/10/2023 -The Business Survey's new indicator of economic activity - an early temperature gauge of the Swedish economy...
Cruising to victory or a dead heat? Central Bank Championships in forecasting ability 2021 and 2022
19/01/2024 -Cruising to victory or a dead heat? Central Bank Championships in forecasting ability 2021 and 2022...
Evaluating the monetary-policy toolkit: lessons for the future
02/08/2022 -Sveriges Riksbank will host a conference on theoretical and empirical research on the use of the central bank’s balance sheet as a monetary policy tool on September 1−2, 2022.
The quest for nominal stability: Lessons from three decades with inflation targeting 23–24 May 2024
10/05/2024 -Sveriges Riksbank hosted a high-level academic conference on inflation targeting on 23-24 May 2024. The conference brought together prominent academics in the field as well as current and former central bankers. Participants discussed a broad...