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How well are inflation expectations anchored at the target?
18/12/2023 -If the inflation target is credible, long-term inflation expectations in the economy are stable close to the target. In a new article, the authors examine how expected inflation in five years' time will be affected by the previous inflation...
Reduced use of cash natural consequence of digitalisation
14/05/2018 -Cash usage is declining rapidly in Sweden. This appears to be driven by decreasing demand. Quite simply, the general public prefers electronic payments such as debit cards and Swish. In a new Economic Commentary, the authors argue that this is a...
The Riksbank’s oversight of the financial infrastructure
18/05/2018 -The Riksbank oversees the financial infrastructure to carry out its statutory tasks of promoting a safe and efficient payment system and maintaining price stability. A smoothly-functioning financial infrastructure is essential for payments and...
Prosperity growth in Sweden compares well with other countries
06/11/2019 -Since the financial crisis, prosperity has had weaker development in many countries, including Sweden. The weak development in Sweden over the past three years has led to a discussion of how prosperity in Sweden compares with that of other...
Making forecasts of the krona exchange rate
29/11/2019 -The best method for predicting the krona exchange rate depends on the forecast horizon. Up to one year ahead, the best forecast for the krona exchange rate is its level at forecast date. At longer horizons, the best forecast is based on the...
Lower labour shortage could partly explain low wage growth
14/11/2019 -Nominal wage increases in Sweden have been unusually low in recent years, despite a strong outcome for the Swedish labour market. Several indicators point to demand for labour having exceeded supply, which according to the textbook should have...
Several risks for households in tenant-owned housing
22/02/2018 -The debts and interest-rate sensitivity of housing cooperatives can increase the risks associated with household indebtedness. If the cooperative has to increase its fees to service its debt, the household may not only have to pay higher monthly...
Economic commentary: A new early warning indicator of financial fragility in Sweden
17/01/2018 -In this economic commentary, the authors propose a new early warning indicator of financial fragility and apply it to the Swedish financial sector. The early warning indicator (EWI) is designed to give a numerical assessment of the build-up of...
Household debt continuing to increase faster than incomes
15/01/2018 -High and rising household indebtedness poses the greatest risk to the Swedish economy. This Economic Commentary shows that household indebtedness is continuing to increase faster than incomes and that indebtedness is highest among young and...
Analysis of the Riksbank's asset purchases to increase transparency
21/06/2021 -Crisis measures taken by central banks around the world have been important in counteracting the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. And as many policy rates were already low prior to the pandemic, rescue purchases of securities have...