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Another perspective on financial stability risks
07/09/2021 -Macrofinancial conditions can be useful when forecasting future growth and its potential downside risks. This is one of the conclusions in a new staff memo where the authors apply the Growth-at-Risk (GaR) framework to study the relation between...
New Staff Memo: SWESTR’s design is robust
23/05/2023 -Compared to the current design of SWESTR, a number of alternative designs have a very small impact on the average level and volatility of the reference rate. This is indicated by the analysis in a new Staff Memo by David Petersson and Ingrid...
Swedish exports to the USA - which sectors are most affected by higher tariffs?
30/05/2025 -The Swedish economy is closely linked to the United States, both directly and through global value chains, and Swedish exports to the United States have increased in recent years. The United States is Sweden's third largest destination for...
The cost of cross-border payments is not in line with G20 targets
27/02/2025 -The G20 has set a target that cross-border payments should cost a maximum of 1 per cent and 3 per cent depending on the type of payment made. The cross-border payments currently offered by the major Swedish banks cost considerably more than this...
New indicator for risks and vulnerabilities in the Swedish financial system
28/05/2020 -A new indicator of risks and vulnerabilities in the Swedish financial system – the systemic risk indicator – is presented in a new Staff Memo. The indicator shall primarily be used to measure and illustrate risks and vulnerabilities that can...
Can digital central bank currencies function as cash?
16/02/2021 -Many central banks are currently researching the possibility of issuing digital money (central bank digital currency - CBDC) as a complement to the central bank money we use today, namely cash. However, digital central bank currencies would not...
Exchange rate and balance of payments – a correlation that got lost?
29/04/2021 -There is no clear picture of how the relationship between the exchange rate and the real and financial transactions between countries functions in practice.
Higher growth leads to lower unemployment, but impact depends on labour market structure
28/11/2025 -When GDP rises, unemployment falls, with the strongest effect after about a year. A new analysis of all regions in Sweden for the years 2000-2023 shows that the classic so-called Okun’s law also applies at regional level. However, the analysis...
Drivers and implications of the strong growth in consumption loans
15/01/2018 -Over the last year, the growth rate of consumption loans has increased sharply, from less than 3 per cent per year in mid-2016 to above 8 per cent in recent months. This development may increase the vulnerability of households to disturbances in...
Slowdown in foreign trade worrying for Swedish economy
22/05/2020 -Global trade has increased rapidly since the early 1990s, thanks to technological developments and increasingly liberal trade regulations. But, after the great recession of 2008–2009, this development has come to a halt. A return to a global...