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What could explain the pattern?
23/04/2024 -What could explain the pattern? The general view among economists, as we noted above, is that structural economic forces have driven the natural rate down over time, and the Fed has had to adjust monetary policy by following this trend.
Summary
01/07/2024 -Summary In this commentary, I have created two price indices from the National Accounts and CPI statistics: One for product categories with a low import content and one for high import content. In recent decades, the share of products with a low...
Discussion
01/07/2024 -Discussion In this commentary, I compare two indices that I have constructed based on the relative import content of the components in the CPIF. One for product categories with a low import content and one for categories with a high import...
References
01/07/2024 -References Baumol W.J., Bowen W.G. “On the Performing Arts: The Anatomy of Their Economic Problems”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 55, No 1/2 (March 1965) Benoit Cœuré “The rise of services and the transmission of monetary policy”, ECB,...
A surprising pattern is hidden behind the trend in long-term interest rates
23/04/2024 -A surprising pattern is hidden behind the trend in long-term interest rates...
Executive Board in the Committee on Finance'shearing on monetary policy in 2024
03/06/2025 -“As the inflation outlook became increasingly stable in 2024, we acted gradually but swiftly with the rate cuts. I consider it was a well-balanced strategy given the high-inflation environment we were coming out of and the risks surrounding...
Erik Thedéen: On risk, uncertainty and geoeconomic fragmentation
16/05/2025 -Even though risks and uncertainty have always been part of the monetary policy environment, it is not obvious how monetary policy should best handle them. Should we act cautiously, more forcefully or completely disregard them? Erik Thedéen,...
Anna Seim: The role of alternative scenarios in monetary policy communication
02/07/2025 -“The policy rate path and carefully crafted alternative scenarios are crucial communication tools for the Riksbank, especially in times of great uncertainty. Together they help us highlight risks and convey our reaction function.” These were the...
Anna Breman: Daring to think differently – on the Riksbank’s monetary policy communication
25/06/2025 -“The world around us is marked by economic and political uncertainty. In this situation, central banks shall represent stability when so many other things are unsteady. We as decision-makers can reduce uncertainty among households, firms and...
Anna Seim in Västervik: Favourable conditions for managing the uncertain road ahead
21/05/2025 -The increased uncertainty abroad is expected to dampen economic activity, while the effects on inflation are more difficult to assess. My assessment is that monetary policy is currently well-balanced and that it is at present wise to await...