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Calculation of the carbon footprint of the Riksbank's foreign exchange reserves
12/04/2022 -Calculation of the carbon footprint of the Riksbank's foreign exchange reserves The carbon footprint is a calculation of greenhouse gas emissions resulting, for example, from the production of goods and services in a country or region. The...
Large forecasting errors across the board
19/01/2024 -Large forecasting errors across the board Figure 2 shows how the Riksbank's CPIF forecasts were updated between 2020 and 2023, and the outcomes for CPIF inflation until the second quarter of 2023. The blue dashed line shows annual averages for...
Money illusion may cause households to ignore inflation
10/04/2024 -Money illusion may cause households to ignore inflation A long-standing phenomenon in macroeconomic research is money illusion, whereby households tend to think in nominal terms and ignore the effects of inflation. One reason for such...
APPENDIX - The new measures
21/02/2024 -APPENDIX - The new measures The new measures are calculated in the same way as the old ones, but instead of weighting together annual percentage changes, seasonally adjusted monthly changes are weighted together, annualised. The seasonal...
Obstacles to settlement in central bank money
20/02/2024 -Obstacles to settlement in central bank money There are potential obstacles that may make settlement in central bank money impractical. Some examples are given below. Central banks typically impose high standards on actors wishing to participate...
Summary
19/01/2024 -Summary After many years of low inflation, consumer prices rose rapidly in 2021 and 2022. Inflation targets and central banks’ forecasting ability were tested to an extent that has not occurred since the targets were introduced. Neither the...
What does legislation and international principles say?
20/02/2024 -What does legislation and international principles say? The Riksbank oversees the financial market infrastructures to identify and limit the risks they may pose to financial stability[5] The Riksbank’s oversight of the financial infrastructure .
Summary
20/02/2024 -Summary The traditional payments and securities markets are undergoing a structural transformation, driven by, among other things, increased competition through new technologies and new actors, as well as new legislation. As part of the...
Summary and conclusions
21/02/2024 -Summary and conclusions One conclusion is that measures of price changes over periods shorter than one year are usually not very good at forecasting future inflation measured as an annual percentage change in the CPIF. However, over the past...
Cruising to victory or a dead heat? Central Bank Championships in forecasting ability 2021 and 2022
19/01/2024 -Cruising to victory or a dead heat? Central Bank Championships in forecasting ability 2021 and 2022...