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How we view risk and uncertainty – prospect theory
10/04/2024 -How we view risk and uncertainty – prospect theory An important part of behavioural economics is how we view risk and uncertainty. In a 1979 article, Daniel Kahneman, together with Amos Tversky, launched the so-called prospect theory, which...
Looking ahead - lasting effects of the inflation shock
10/04/2024 -Looking ahead - lasting effects of the inflation shock We previously described the literature on the importance of experience for economic agents.[48] For an overview, see Malmendier (2021). Individuals who have experienced dramatic economic...
Summary and conclusions
21/02/2024 -Summary and conclusions One conclusion is that measures of price changes over periods shorter than one year are usually not very good at forecasting future inflation measured as an annual percentage change in the CPIF. However, over the past...
A simple monetary policy framework
10/04/2024 -A simple monetary policy framework To describe how insights from behavioural economics could help monetary policy, we use a simple framework based both on the relationship between the interest rate, the real economy and inflation, and on the...
How life experiences influence economic decisions
10/04/2024 -How life experiences influence economic decisions In recent years, an increasing amount of research has highlighted how life experiences can influence economic decisions, especially dramatic events.[24] For an overview, see, for example,...
Behavioural economics perspectives on the rise in inflation in 2021-2022
10/04/2024 -Behavioural economics perspectives on the rise in inflation in 2021-2022 In this section, we highlight some of the factors we discussed earlier that may shed light on the developments in recent years when inflation rose sharply in 2021 and 2022.
Settlement in central bank money from a financial stability perspective
20/02/2024 -Settlement in central bank money from a financial stability perspective...
Monetary Policy Reports and Updates
26/04/2023 -The Executive Board normally holds eight monetary policy meetings per year, at which it takes decisions on monetary policy. A Monetary Policy Report is published in conjunction with every second meeting, four times a year, while a shorter...
Important to continue to have a flexible process
07/04/2022 -Important to continue to have a flexible process Following the very turbulent 2020, the consequences of the pandemic are now more a part of the normal, ongoing work at the Riksbank. As the situation stabilised, the forecast work also became more...
Climate Report
21/02/2025 -The Climate Report explains why and how the Riksbank works with climate-related risks within the framework of its mandate, and describes new international regulations in the financial sector in the field of sustainability and the Swedish...