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Summary
19/01/2024 -Summary After many years of low inflation, consumer prices rose rapidly in 2021 and 2022. Inflation targets and central banks’ forecasting ability were tested to an extent that has not occurred since the targets were introduced. Neither the...
Introduction
23/03/2023 -Introduction Payments are necessary for the functioning of the economy. At the same time, payments consume extensive resources. In the Riksbank's Cost Study, published today, the authors estimate that the social cost of payments in Sweden amounts...
APPENDIX - Tables and charts
27/10/2023 -APPENDIX - Tables and charts Webbrapport bildblock - Figure 4. Estimates of the Business Survey indicator when the time horizon is extended Table 4. Correlation coefficients, indicators of economic activity and GDP, 2008-2023 GDP q/q GDP q/q...
The robustness of the Business Survey indicator over time
27/10/2023 -The robustness of the Business Survey indicator over time The answers to the Business Survey questions are never revised, but the Business Survey indicator is re-estimated after each survey round. The weights given to the variables in the...
The Business Survey's new indicator of economic activity - an early temperature gauge of the Swedish economy
27/10/2023 -The Business Survey's new indicator of economic activity - an early temperature gauge of the Swedish economy...
Cruising to victory or a dead heat? Central Bank Championships in forecasting ability 2021 and 2022
19/01/2024 -Cruising to victory or a dead heat? Central Bank Championships in forecasting ability 2021 and 2022...
Social psychology factors in decision-making
10/04/2024 -Social psychology factors in decision-making In a famous experiment in the early 1950s, social psychologist Solomon Asch found something interesting.[19] See Asch (1951). A group of trial subjects were asked to compare two boxes: There were...
Concluding thoughts
10/04/2024 -Concluding thoughts In this Economic Commentary, we have highlighted insights from behavioural economics research that we believe can be helpful for monetary policy. We see these insights as useful complements to the existing analysis and...
Falling prices and low turnover in the housing market
10/04/2024 -Falling prices and low turnover in the housing market For a long time prior to 2021-2022, interest rates had been very low and on a declining trend. During this period, the Swedish housing market had experienced strong price increases. During...
The importance of inflation for economic decisions
10/04/2024 -The importance of inflation for economic decisions A phenomenon we described earlier is money illusion, i.e. the tendency of households and companies to ignore inflation in their economic decisions. However, it is also hypothesised that this...