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...there is a surprising pattern
23/04/2024 -...there is a surprising pattern In light of these theories, Hillenbrand (2023) has documented a surprising pattern: interest rate changes in a narrow window of time around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meetings capture virtually the...
Is the same unexpected pattern hiding behind trends in interest rates in small open economies?
23/04/2024 -Is the same unexpected pattern hiding behind trends in interest rates in small open economies? An interesting question that Hillenbrand (2023) does not analyse is whether the narrow time window around Fed monetary policy meetings also captures...
Thedéen: We have lessons to learn from the turbulence of recent years
20/12/2023 -It is a particular challenge for economic policy makers when the economy is subject to rapid changes that are difficult or impossible to predict. In recent years, we have faced several such changes originating in events that have mainly had...
References
23/04/2024 -References Armelius, Hanna, Martin Solberger, Erik Spånberg and Pär Österholm (2024), "The evolution of the natural rate of interest: evidence from the Scandinavian countries", Empirical Economics, vol. 66, pp. 1633–1659. Armelius, Hanna, Martin...
What could explain the pattern?
23/04/2024 -What could explain the pattern? The general view among economists, as we noted above, is that structural economic forces have driven the natural rate down over time, and the Fed has had to adjust monetary policy by following this trend.
Summary
01/07/2024 -Summary In this commentary, I have created two price indices from the National Accounts and CPI statistics: One for product categories with a low import content and one for high import content. In recent decades, the share of products with a low...
Discussion
01/07/2024 -Discussion In this commentary, I compare two indices that I have constructed based on the relative import content of the components in the CPIF. One for product categories with a low import content and one for categories with a high import...
References
01/07/2024 -References Baumol W.J., Bowen W.G. “On the Performing Arts: The Anatomy of Their Economic Problems”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 55, No 1/2 (March 1965) Benoit Cœuré “The rise of services and the transmission of monetary policy”, ECB,...
A surprising pattern is hidden behind the trend in long-term interest rates
23/04/2024 -A surprising pattern is hidden behind the trend in long-term interest rates...
New Challenges for Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions, 6–7 October 2025
29/09/2025 -Sveriges Riksbank is hosting a research conference on “New Challenges for Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions” on 6–7 October 2025. The conference will focus on how to design, calibrate, and coordinate monetary and fiscal policies in today’s...