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Indicators for short-term forecasting

17/10/2024 1,6 MB -

Staff memo Indicators for short-term fore- casting Mårten Löf and Pär Stockhammar October 2024 2 Table of contents 1 The amount of new data is increasing rapidly 4 2 Method and data 6 3 Results 10 3.1 Sensitivity

Is there state-dependence in the exchange rate pass-through to inflation in Sweden?

22/04/2024 2,6 MB -

Staff memo Is there state-de- pendence in the exchange rate pass-through to in- flation in Sweden? Märta Almgren and Dmytro Stoyko April 2024 2 Contents 1 Introduction 4 2 Empirical Specification 7 2.1 Local

The digital euro and its potential consequences for Sweden

14/05/2024 989,3 kB -

Staff memo The digital euro and its potential consequences for Sweden Ann Börestam and Anders Mölgaard Pedersen May 2024 2 Contents 1 Introduction 4 2 A digital euro taking shape 5 2.1 A digital euro – what, why

What drives variable mortgage rates?

22/05/2024 2,4 MB -

Staff memo What drives varia- ble mortgage rates? Peter Kaplan and Mambuna Njie May 2024 2 Contents 1 Introduction 4 2 An analytical framework for the variable mortgage rate 6 3 How do banks fund mortgages? 9 4

AI-based forecasting in Sweden

02/04/2025 2,8 MB -

Staff memo AI-based fore- casting in Sweden Ard Den Reijer, Pär Stockhammar, David Vestin, Davide Vincenzo Bucci and Xin Zhang April 2025 2 Contents 1 Introduction 4 2 Models 5 2.1 Simple benchmark models 5

Cross-border payments offered by the large Swedish banks

28/02/2025 1010,9 kB -

Staff memo Cross-border pay- ments offered by the large Swedish banks: are they in line with G20 cost targets? Reimo Juks February 2025 2 Contents 1 Introduction 4 2 The cross-border market in Sweden 5 3

Forecasts and narratives for the policy rate in a macroeconomic model with a real interest rate trend

25/04/2025 1,1 MB -

Staff Memo Forecasts and narratives for the policy rate in a macroeconomic model with a real interest rate trend Vesna Corbo and Ingvar Strid April 2025 2 Table of contents 1 Introduction 4 2 A trend for the

How a cost on emissions could affect banks credit risk

19/02/2025 1,3 MB -

Staff Memo How a cost on emissions could affect banks’ credit risk Mattias Danielsson Lukas Guan Hallquist Jakob Winstrand Financial Stability Department February 2025 2 Table of contents 1 Climate risks can affect

Increased import tariffs in the United States, What is the extent of Swedish exports to the USA and which sectors could be most affected

30/05/2025 415,6 kB -

Staff Memo Increased import tar- iffs in the United States: What is the extent of Swedish ex- ports to the USA and which sectors could be most affected? José Camacho, Caroline Flodberg, Mårten Löf, Bengt Petersson May 2025

SRISK in the Swedish banking system

21/10/2025 1 MB -

Staff memo SRISK in the Swedish banking system Dominika Krygier and Jieying Li October 2025 2 Contents 1 Systemic risk in the Swedish banking system 4 2 A brief overview of the banking sector 6 3 SRISK is a market-based