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References
19/01/2024 -References Australian Government (2023), “An RBA fit for the future”, The Australian Government Review of the Reserve Bank of Australia Report. Bordo, Michael and Mickey Levy (2022) "The Fed's Monetary Policy Exit Once Again behind the Curve",...
Summary – in principle, a dead heat between the central banks
19/01/2024 -Summary – in principle, a dead heat between the central banks It is difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically. This becomes clear when we study the forecasts of ten central banks for inflation in 2021 and 2022. We observe...
When did the central banks start adjusting their inflation forecasts for 2022 upwards?
19/01/2024 -When did the central banks start adjusting their inflation forecasts for 2022 upwards? Figure 5 shows the Riksbank's and other central banks' forecasting errors (outcome minus forecast) for each country's inflation target variable for 2022. Here...
Inflation rose rapidly
19/01/2024 -Inflation rose rapidly After many years of low inflation, consumer prices rose rapidly in 2021 and 2022 and inflation reached the highest levels in over 30 years. The inflation target, like the Riksbank's the forecasting ability, was tested to...
Settlement should take place in central bank money whenever possible
20/02/2024 -Settlement should take place in central bank money whenever possible The safe settlement of money and securities is essential for the smooth functioning of the financial system. Settlement in central bank money is favoured by both legislation...
General principles for settlement in central bank money
20/02/2024 -General principles for settlement in central bank money The Riksbank monitors and analyses market developments from a financial stability perspective to ensure that central bank money is used in a way that contributes to minimising risk in the...
Does inflation rise when the policy rate is raised?
12/01/2024 -Although there is broad consensus that inflation falls when the central bank raises its policy rate, there are mechanisms and channels that may lead to the opposite effect. For example, interest rates also represent a cost for households and...
Difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically
19/01/2024 -Neither the central banks nor other forecasters predicted how quickly inflation would rise in 2021 and 2022, and inflation forecasts accordingly showed major forecasting errors. The Riksbank's forecasting ability for 2021 was good. In 2022 it...
Shorter update in connection with the next monetary policy decision
22/01/2024 -As previously announced, the Executive Board will hold eight regular monetary policy meetings per year with effect from this year. After four of these meetings, a Monetary Policy Report with forecasts will be published. A shorter Monetary Policy...
Press conference on the IMF’s assessment of the Swedish economy
01/02/2024 -On Monday 5 February, a delegation from the International Monetary Fund, IMF, will conclude its visit to Sweden. The visit forms part of the regular consultations that the IMF has with its member countries, the so-called Article IV...