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Anna Breman: Good prospects for a strong recovery, despite uncertainty in the world around us
19/11/2024 -“The fact that inflation is now low and stable is positive for everyone. Real wages are rising again and household purchasing power will strengthen significantly this year and next. Stronger domestic demand will in turn lead to a stronger labour...
Anna Seim: The Riksbank's new assessment of the long-term neutral interest rate
26/11/2024 -The neutral interest rate is a concept that is central both in research and in the central banking world, and which has begun to be discussed increasingly in Sweden. But what does the term mean and how does the Riksbank view the neutral interest...
Per Jansson: Reassuring inflationary pressures but uncertainty abroad
27/11/2024 -"We have now cut the policy rate four times in six months, by a total of 1.25 percentage points. This has been gradual, but also fairly rapid, and more than in almost all other comparable countries. A lower interest rate strengthens households'...
Aino Bunge: Lower interest rates provide relief but do not solve structural challenges in the housing market
17/10/2024 -“There is more confidence that we have left the period of high inflation behind us. Outcomes and indicators also implies that inflation will remain in line with the target. For this reason we have been able to cut the policy rate gradually but at...
Margins are central to manage counterparty risks, but can create liquidity risks
15/05/2025 -Margin is a key tool for managing counterparty risk in transactions involving derivative contracts. The use of margins and clearing at central counterparties (CCPs) are important keys to reducing contagion risks among derivatives market...
Instant payments contribute to innovation and efficiency – how to manage risks to boost development
20/05/2025 -Consumers have become accustomed to instant payments and expect to be able to make transactions quickly and securely. The benefits of instant payments are many. For instance, they contribute to increased innovation and efficiency in the payments...
Staff memo: How banks' mortgage rates are affected when the policy rate changes
24/04/2025 -How quickly and how much are the banks' mortgage rates adjusted when the Riksbank changes the policy rate? Does this pattern change when the policy rate is negative? This is analysed in a new study based on high-frequency data from Swedish banks...
Better forecasting with AI-based models
02/04/2025 -AI-based models outperform traditional time series models in forecasting Swedish GDP and inflation. This is according to a survey conducted by economists at the Riksbank's Monetary Policy Department.
Account of Monetary Policy in 2024: Inflation on target
28/03/2025 -The Riksbank's interest rate hikes in 2022-2023 helped bring inflation back down and it was close to the target throughout 2024. Annual average CPIF inflation was 1.9 per cent and long-term inflation expectations were stable at 2 per cent. The...
The Riksbank’s Financial Markets Survey: The Swedish fixed-income and foreign exchange markets are functioning well
07/04/2025 -A majority of respondents consider that the Swedish fixed-income and foreign exchange markets are functioning well. The majority of respondents also state that their risk-taking has increased over the past six months, but at the same time most...